|
P408 |
Monday, 31 December, 2007
NORSOK Reversal? |
- Political Pressure to Limit Pre-PDO Commitments
- But Liberal/Christian Proposal Defeated
- Red Herring to Protect against Green Wrath
- Flexibility Was Important Element in NORSOK Reforms
- New Rigidity Will Push Costs and Harm Norwegian Industry
|
P407 |
Sunday, 30 December, 2007
Carbonized Media |
- Eight Out of Ten Newspapers See Skarv Only as CO2 Problem
- Includes Aftenposten, VG, Dagbladet, Vårt Land, Bergens Tidende
- Discover "Quiet" Decision in Parliament 10 Days Late
- Abyss between Northern and Southern Media
|
P406 |
Friday, 28 December, 2007
The Mirror Cracked |
- Correct that SFA Accident "Should not Have Happened"?
- Public Misunderstands "Zero Discharges" Principle
- Claims about "Luck" Disguise Thought and Merit
- Risk/Reward Almost Absent from Discussion
- Which Other Sectors Have a Lower Risk/Reward Ratio?
- Doubts Cast over Safety of Northern E&P
- But Accident Could be Turned to Advantage
- Philosophy Matters, also for Business
- Greens Should be Held Accountable
|
P405 |
Thursday, 27 December, 2007
Hindsight Wisdom? |
- Statfjord Oil Spill Gone, No Damage Likely
- Mostly As Expected in High Sea
- Green Record in Reckless Accusations
- Accident Apparently Caused by Chain of Events
- Should it Have Been Anticipated?
- Or is Criticism Mostly Hindsight Wisdom?
- Can System Changes Improve Our Performance?
|
P404 |
Thursday, 13 December, 2007
What Deal for Northern Norway? |
- Strategy for Northern Petroleum-Based Growth Needed Soon
- Must Aim at Extending Cluster, Not Creating a New
- Foreign Policy and Arctic Visions as Umbrella Strategies
- Efforts Should Target Cluster Mechanisms, Market Failures
- New Powerful Incentives for Networking Required
- Major "Southern" Contractors Hold Important Keys to Success
|
P403 |
Wednesday, 12 December, 2007
Northern Scenarios |
- FAFO Report Challenges Northern Euphoria
- Bust After Boom Unless Supporting Policies
- But "World Star" Industry in the North Also Possible
- Not Really Contradictory to Earlier, Optimistic Studies
|
P402 |
Friday, 7 December, 2007
A Counter-Productive Merger? |
- Gunnar Frognes: Merger Process May Tie Down Organization for Years
- Most Mergers Fail to Achieve Objectives
- Merger Didn't Increase Scope for International M&A
- Statoil Was Already Large Enough for Project Investments
- Merger May Constrain Rather than Encourage Internationalization
- StatoilHydro's Size in Domestic Economy Dwarfs Other OECD Giants'
|
P401 |
Tuesday, 4 December, 2007
Arctic Enigma II |
- Russian Estimates Dwarf USGS2000
- Up to 100 bn toe in Arctic
- Includes 5-10 bn in Lomonosov Ridge
- Comprehensive USGS Arctic Survey in Pipeline
- USGS Still Believes in 20-30% of Global Yet-to-Find
- Unknown Additional Opportunities in More Remote Regions
- Jury Will Stay Out for a Long Time
|
P400 |
Wednesday, 28 November, 2007
Arctic Enigma I |
- "25% Undiscovered in the Arctic" a Misunderstanding
- USGS Number Covered Seven Not Quite Arctic Basins Only
- Most Arctic Basins Not Included at All
- None of Norway's High North Included
- USGS: "Arctic the Big Hole We Didn't Do"
- Norwegian Sea Over-Estimated
- Eastern Greenland Downgraded in 2007
- Wood/Fugro Yet-To-Find Potential Smaller
- But the Russians Are Optimists...
|
P399 |
Wednesday, 14 November, 2007
What Now With Kon-Kraft? |
- MPE Minister Åslaug Haga Reorganizes Senior Management Forum
- No Longer Attached to Kon-Kraft
- Continues as Open Advisory Forum for Minister
- Kon-Kraft Becomes Industry's Independent Instrument
- Good Occasion for Rethinking Research and Information Strategies
- Defensive Strategy Has Failed
- NRK Web Poll: 54% Say Norway Should Close Oil Production for Ethical Reasons
- Time to Act on Old Proposal about "Centre for Information and Analysis"
|
P398 |
Wednesday, 31 October, 2007
Oil Vs Gas |
- MPE Stops Troll Future Development
- Supports Long-Standing NPD Position
- Why Are StatoilHydro Interests Not Aligned to Society's?
- Answers Relate to Tax System, Resource Management, Diversity
- Troll Oil Vs Gas Text Book Case for Market Failures in E&P
- Old Hydro's Final Position Unknown
- Why Does the Decision Come Now?
- Cost Increases, Market Situation, Area Impact Contributed
- Greens Turn Against Resource Management
|
P397 |
Monday, 29 October, 2007
A Tribute to Competence |
- StatoilHydro Gets 24% Stake in Shtokman Operator
- Important Details Unknown
- How Will Knowledge Benefits Be Shared?
- Will Companies Be Able to Book Reserves?
- Will Investment Be Profitable?
- Is it a Political Deal?
- Dangerous for Norwegian Interests To Say It Is
- Important to Increase Momentum on Our Own Side
|
P396 |
Monday, 22 October, 2007
Green Imperialism |
- Solheim: StatoilHydro Must Use NCS Standards Abroad
- Says Government Must Apply Pressure
- Noreng: Forget about International Growth
- Is it Fair Treatment of Host Countries?
- Can All Countries Be World Champions?
- More Governance By Signalling and Pressure
|
P395 |
Monday, 15 October, 2007
Technolab or Sunset? |
- NPD Releases 2007 Resource Report
- New Scenario Challenge for Politicians
- Half Today's Production Volume at Stake in Only 10 Years
- Huge Consequences for Everybody's Economy
- Outlook Completely Ignored by Media
- Who Has the Responsibility to Tell People About It?
|
P394 |
Monday, 8 October, 2007
Signalling and Harassment for Governance |
- Reiten Steps Down as StatoilHydro Chairman
- Quotes Partiality over Libya Problem
- Follows Months of Political Harassment
- Other Ex-Hydro Officials Under Fire
- Setback for Integration Process
- Libya Matter Inherited from Saga
- Uncertainties About Hydro's Handling
- Unlikely that Reiten Personally is To Blame
- Why Leave StatoilHydro If Still Good for Hydro?
|
P393 |
Wednesday, 26 September, 2007
Wars of the Greens |
- Centre Party Leader Åslaug Haga to MPE
- Stronger Minister Benefits MPE in Minor Matters
- Politics May Change to Oil Industry's Disadvantage
- Haga Will Make MPE "Ministry for Environment and Climate"
- More Renewables Primary Objective
- SV Firm in Belief in Greener Profile
- Ministerial Competition for Green Hegemony
- How Will it Be Handled by Labour?
- SV Leader Says Green Groups are Never Satisfied
- Spearhead Goes Tired of Spearheads
- Maybe Voters, Too?
|
P392 |
Thursday, 9 August, 2007
Inadequate Options II |
- Government Contains Damage Close to Home
- Stock Options Like Lotteries in Cyclical Industries
- Likely to Distort in Favour of Quick M&A Projects
- Indexed Bonuses More Directly Tied to Value Creation
- Hydro System Perfectly Fit for Merging with Statoil
- Did It Actually Distort the Merger Decision?
- Why Visionary Leaders are Needed But Discouraged
- Injection of Corporate Perestroika Recommended
|
P391 |
Wednesday, 8 August, 2007
Inadequate Options I |
- Dagsavisen: Reiten May Still Be Dropped in StatoilHydro
- Minister: Hydro Case Closed after Reiten Gave Up 8 Mill
- Government Sacked Reinås as Hydro Chairman
- Blatant Violation of Corporate Governance
- Option Payments Tiny Compared to Enhanced Hydro Value
- Government Trying to Cash in on Envy, Accusations
- Still Problems with Hydro Board's Decisions
- Writing Off Hydro's Option "Investment" Main Error
- Why Wasn't Option Problem Dealt With in Merger Process?
|
P390 |
Monday, 16 July, 2007
Lessons for Norway |
- Total, Gazprom Sign Shtokman Deal
- Total Says Reserves Can Be Booked
- Shows Majors Can Adjust to Nationalism
- Gazprom Says Others Must Top Their Bids
- What Kind of Politics in the Background?
- Blow to PM's High North Strategy
- Norway Must Open More Acreage, Encourage Majors
|
P389 |
Wednesday, 4 July, 2007
Conundrum III |
- Better With More Extensive Power for the State?
- Did the State Pay Too Much?
- Why Are the Swedes there?
- Speculations in ESA Objections
- Doubts about Veto Rights
- Can We Develop a More Targeted System?
|
P388 |
Thursday, 28 June, 2007
Conundrum II |
- Competitive Edge From State Ownership?
- Aker Trade Union Leader Calls for More Competition for StatoilHydro
- "War Chest" to be Used for "New Saga"?
|
P387 |
Tuesday, 26 June, 2007
Conundrum I |
- State Takes Anchoring Position in Aker Kværner
- State, Røkke Committed for Ten Years
- Employees and Trade Unions Jubilant
- Mixed Reactions from Opposition, Industry, Media
- Eliminates Risk of Undesirable Takeovers
- Was the Risk Real, or Part of a Poker Game?
- Worth Cost of Rigid Structure & State Veto Right?
|
P386 |
Tuesday, 12 June, 2007
XXL Wisdom Required |
- Merger Unanimously Approved
- Reiten Promises "Extra Wisdom"
- Enoksen Amended Answer on Competition Authority
- Is Strategy Allowed in Licensing?
|
P385 |
Friday, 8 June, 2007
Champion of Risk |
- Statoil to Open Office in Kurdistan
- Noreng: Could be Seen as Support for US Occupation
- Statoil and Norway Could Become Targets for Terrorists
- Minister Won't Intervene in Commercial Decisions
- National Champions Mean National Risks
|
P384 |
Thursday, 7 June, 2007
A Problem Child is Born |
- Full Split in Parliament on Merger
- Compensating Policies Rejected by Red-Green
- Opposition Says Break with Consensus is Historic Watershed
- Promises Rematch after 2009
- Full Committee Sharpens Problem Description
- Merger Will Still Pass Unanimously
- Motion As Good As Non-Confidence against Government
|
P383 |
Saturday, 2 June, 2007
Telling Evasions |
- Minister Responds to Third Batch of Conservative Questions
|
P382 |
Friday, 1 June, 2007
National Strategy |
- Minister Announces National Strategy for Petroleum Industry
- Based on Commitment from Government's Founding Declaration
- Managed by Kon-Kraft and Senior Management Forum
- Minister Suggests Five Projects
|
P381 |
Thursday, 31 May, 2007
Minister in the Fire |
- Enoksen Not Out of the Fire
- Misinformed about Competition Authority
- Opposition to Consider Further Reactions
- Considers Minister's Attitude Arrogant
- Even Labour Newspapers Disapprove
- Government Admits to Dropping Authority to Gain Time
- Brende Asks for More Time
- Biggest Offence to Silence its Own Controller
|
P380 |
Thursday, 31 May, 2007
Opposition Demands Conditions for Merger |
- All Non-Socialists Demand Conditions for Merger
- Reduced Operatorship Power
- Equity Sales to New Operators
- More Acreage for #2 Companies
- Strengthening of Petoro and the NPD
- Ownership Governance to Aim at Diversity
- Diversity Objective in Licensing Rounds
- Statoil and Hydro Can Solve Problem Themselves
- Should Present Voluntary List of Divestment and Transfers
|
P379 |
Wednesday, 30 May, 2007
Using Trees to Hide the Forest |
- Minister Rejects Safeguards against Further Growth
- Government Hides Behind Point-to-Point Formalities
- Refuses to Discuss Strategic Challenges Raised by Merger
- Why Must Diversity Paradigm Be Less Protected than Others?
- Important for Power Split between Parliament and Government
|
P378 |
Tuesday, 29 May, 2007
Imperfect Argument |
- 136 Operatorship Transfers to Date
- No Known Significant Damage
- Costs not Assessed
- Government: High Risk of Reduced Value Creation
- Based on Invalid Assumptions
- Improved Value Creation More Likely
- General Benefits of Diversity in Addition
- Merger Itself Represents Record in Transfers
- Government Won't Discuss Encouragements
|
P377 |
Thursday, 24 May, 2007
Face of Power II |
- Competition Authority Started Working on Merger
- Informed Government, but Was Stopped
- Unprecedented Gagging, Says Brende (Conservative)
- Brende Forced Government to Release Authority's Letter
- Letter Said Impact on Local Supply Market Should Be Assessed
- Means that Government Should and Could Have Ensured National Jurisdiction
|
P376 |
Wednesday, 23 May, 2007
Face of Power I |
- Government Responds to Conservative Questions
- Admits to Keeping Competition Authority Out
- Won't Set Safeguards against Further Growth
- Arguments Circular or Formalist
|
P375 |
Friday, 18 May, 2007
Conservatives Taking Action |
- Conservatives Demand Policies to Re-Create Diversity
- Børge Brende: Major Losses at NCS Must be Avoided
- Shocked over Government's Passivity
- Sends New Batch of Questions to Government
- Initiates Talks with Other Opposition Parties
- Wants Negotiations with Government
- Support for Merger Conditional of Response
- Dagens Næringsliv: Should Have Opposed Merger from Start
- Lund Says Merger Defensible also for NCS
|
P374 |
Friday, 4 May, 2007
Athabasca |
- Statoil Acquires Oil Sands Assets in Alberta
|
P373 |
Wednesday, 2 May, 2007
Partnership Governance |
- Oil Companies, MPE, Agree on New Rules for Licence Groups
- Improved Corporate Governance
- More Equitable Cost Sharing
- Satisfies Many Complaints from Non-Operators
|
P372 |
Monday, 16 April, 2007
Comedown |
- MoF Calculates Alleged Petroleum Tax Revenue Loss
- Highest Number Quoted NOK 150-200 Bn
- Comedown for Dagbladet's Anti Kon-Kraft Campaign
- Assumptions from 2004 Combined with Higher Price Path
- Denies Production Boost from Tax Cuts
- Implication: No Accumulated Boost from Prices either
- Progress Party Asks Minister to Assess its own Proposal
|
P371 |
Friday, 13 April, 2007
Evasions |
- Government Replies to Conservatives' Merger Questions
- Evasions Make Further Investigation Necessary
|
P370 |
Thursday, 12 April, 2007
Derailing Tax Debate |
- Claims of Extreme Revenue Loss from Kon-Kraft Tax Proposal
- Not Supported By Quoted Thesis
- Media Debate Targeting the Progress Party
- Kon-Kraft Proposal and Current System Both Outdated
- New and more Flexible System Needed Soon
|
P369 |
Wednesday, 11 April, 2007
Multidimensional State |
- Thesis Posits Alternative State/Industry Reality Perception
- Kon-Kraft and Tax Project Used as Case
- Useful for Industry's Own Strategic Planning
- Kon-Kraft's Shape Should be Reconsidered
- Media Spill-Over into Debate on Tax Proposal's Merits
|
P368 |
Wednesday, 4 April, 2007
Mouthpiece |
- Government Recommends Merger for Parliament
- Parrots Companies' Arguments
- Absolutely No Action Proposed
- Only Lip-Service Paid to Problems for the NCS
- "Expects" StatoilHydro to Take Care of Everything
- Competition Authority Not Involved
|
P367 |
Tuesday, 27 March, 2007
Harstad |
- Political Battle over StatoilHydro in Harstad
- Raises Broader Issues about Local Benefits
- Silly to Stumble on Politics in Front of 2010 Opening Decision
|
P366 |
Friday, 23 March, 2007
Confirmations |
- Draft Merger Prospectus Submitted to SEC
- Hydro Demerger Was Starting Point
- Hydro Considered Other Options Five Days Before Announcement
- Irresponsible Political Decision Confirmed
- Companies Prepared for Conditions for Approval
- Includes Possible Required Divestment
- Risks Related to NCS Innovation and Efficiency Ignored
- Companies Expect Increased Market Power
- Norway Can Demand Use of Competition Act
- Suppliers Can Appeal EU Approval
|
P365 |
Friday, 9 March, 2007
Still Uncertainty |
- Hydro Board Member Asks for Clarification on Name
- Enoksen's Promise Not to Vote for "Statoil" Confirmed
- Name Debate May Not Be Closed After All
|
P364 |
Thursday, 8 March, 2007
StatoilHydro |
- Combination Name Only Temporary
- Means Name Debate is Postponed One Year
- New Board to Develop New Name/Logo
- Government Reserves the Right to Keep "StatoilHydro"
- Enoksen Says Government Won't Insist on "Statoil" Only
- Time Working for New Name, but Long Stalemate?
|
P363 |
Thursday, 1 March, 2007
Wait for the Fat Lady |
- Massive Objections to Merger at MPE Meeting
- Oil Companies Argue for Operatorship Changes
- Former MPE Official: Not Setting Fire Better than Trying to Put It Out
- Opposition in Parliament Moving to "Yes, But Only If"
- "Enormous Rift" on "New Statoil" Future Value
- Hydro May Have Large Oil Discoveries in Barents, Libya
- Mergers Etc Have Failed Before; Telenor, Volvo
- A Long Time to August
|
P362 |
Tuesday, 13 February, 2007
Synergies |
- Statoil Estimates NOK 4 bn of Cost Synergies
- Corresponds to Less than 1% of NCS Value Creation
- Expects More from Improved Performance, Growth Opportunities
- No Details Released
- Must Do Better
|
P361 |
Monday, 12 February, 2007
Opposition Materializing |
- Conservatives Put 29 Merger Questions to Government
- Could Oppose Merger Unless Good Answers
|
P360 |
Monday, 5 February, 2007
The Postponement |
- 20th Round Postponed by One Year
- MPE/NPD: Will Help Avoiding Dry Wells
- OLF Disappointed, Suggests Different Approach
- Decision Convenient for Greens
- Also for Some Oil Companies?
- Something Cooking on Tax?
- If So - What Should be Done?
|
P359 |
Thursday, 1 February, 2007
A Little Cold Water |
- APA06 Largest Round Counted in Licenses
- 9 Committed Wells Best in North Sea/APA Rounds
- Still Far Behind History Up to 1996
- Well Commitments Starting to Become a Good Indicator
- Majors' Share Continues to Decline
- Much Lower Share for Statoil/Hydro; Conscious MPE Policy?
- 10 Companies So Far Unsuccessful, 10 Licences Held Up
|
P358 |
Friday, 26 January, 2007
Broken Vow |
- Røkke Feeling Cheated after Hydro Withdrawal
- Politicians Positive to Hydro/Aker Deal
- "Three-Way Merger" Would Have Been too Much
- Lost Opportunity May Cause Sale of Aker Kværner Abroad
- Ship-Owners' Association Confirms Gazprom Shopping in Norway
- Opposition Demands Cards on the Table
- Time-Out Required to Consider New Consensus-Based Solutions
|
P357 |
Friday, 19 January, 2007
Pandora's Box |
- Red-Green Activists Try to Take Control
- Government Soon to Give Boards Opinions on Merger Details
- Boards to Make Final Decisions in March
- Next Comes Document for Parliament
- Repeat Performance of Revolt Against Odfjell Nomination?
- Name Debate Proxy for Politicizing Merged Company
- Full Contents of Pandora's Bow Only Revealed in the Longer Run
|
P356 |
Monday, 15 January, 2007
First Opposition Response |
- Opposition: Diversity Must Be Re-Established
- Wants to See More of Large Internationals
- MPE Minister: Discussion in Document for Parliament in March
- Will Also Provide Opportunity for Discussing Merger Details
- Opposition Should Investigate Government's Role
|
P355 |
Thursday, 11 January, 2007
Tax Reform |
- Tax Reform to Encourage Majors & Exploration
- No Change in Current Revenue
- Only for Future Projects, Lower Prices, Demanding Fields
- Must Include Oil Price Variability
- Must Also Cover Different Field Properties
- Important to Get in Place for Long-Term Predictability
- Better Incentives Required in Addition to More Opportunities
|
P354 |
Wednesday, 10 January, 2007
Institutional Matters |
- Strengthening State Institutions
- Should Ownership Role Move to the MTI?
- Should Petoro Be Made Operative?
- OLF and Kon-Kraft
- Legislation, Regulation and Licensing Terms
|
P353 |
Tuesday, 9 January, 2007
Internationalization Fund |
- Can and Should the Merger Be Stopped?
- What Should We Do When It Is Not?
- MPE: No Plans Yet to Counteract Power Concentration
- Asset Sell-Off not Considered, SDFI Sales Refused
- Middle/North Norway: More Operators
- Gusevik: New Giant International Acquisition
- Creativity and Will to Take Large Decisions Now Required
- Sell-Down Requirements, But also Positive Incentives
- Our Suggestion: Internationalization Fund for Leveraging
|
P352 |
Monday, 8 January, 2007
NCS Consequences |
- Suppliers Split on Merger
- Merged Company May Cut Supplier Chains
- Suppliers Remaining inside Likely to Benefit
- Merger may Trigger Mergers or Acquisitions among Suppliers
- Harder for Emerging Technology Firms
- Possibly Harder for Suppliers to Get R&D Funds
- Licensing Unlikely to Open Much for Others in Short Run
- Portfolio "Clean-Up" Because of Area Fee, Not Merger
- Merged Company Unlikely to Let Go of Main Operatorships Voluntarily
|
P351 |
Thursday,4 January, 2007
Democratic Deficit |
- Not Commercial Interests Overrunning Democracy
- Democratic Objectives Discarded by Political Gate-Keepers
- Lundteigen, Lied: Should Have Been Open Debate about Principles
- Schnitler, Dagens Næringsliv: Suppliers Too Dependent to Speak Up
- Norsk Industri: Enormous Power Challenge for the MPE
- Professor Wyller: Cannot be Governed against Its Will
- Former Labour Deputy Minister: State to Govern Statoil - Or Vice Versa?
- Opposition Goes Along, Worried about Democratic Challenge
- PM Allowed State's Ownership Role to Govern other State Roles
- Decision-Making Process Forewarning of Corporative Power
- "Process will Be on Future Curriculum for State Scientists"
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