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N303 Monday, 12 November, 2007
Good Try!
  • Government Proposes Amendments to Hydro Power Tax
  • NOK 280 Mill of Increased Annual Revenue
  • Claims it Will Boost Investment
  • Full Recovery of Deficits in Resource Rent Tax
  • Smaller Plants to Pay Resource Rent Tax
  • Tax Rate Increased by 3%
  • Removal of Risk Compensation
  • State Subsidies Included in Tax Base
  • Still No Allowance for Materiality
  • But the Proposal is Probably Already Dead…
N302 Wednesday, 7 November, 2007
Constitution under Attack
  • Retroactive Tax Legislation against Shipping Companies
  • Government Wants Parliament to Redefine Constitution
  • Denies Opposition Independent Legal Study
  • Legal Experts to Hearings instead
  • Industry's Legal Advisors: Proposal Unconstitutional
  • Retroactivity up to 11 Years
  • Opposition: Dangerous as new Precedent
  • Reduced Protection against Arbitrary Power Use
N301 Monday, 22 October, 2007
Raising the Stake
  • SV Sacks Scapegoats
  • Broadens Own Political Range in Government
  • Changes in Ministerial Structure Required
  • Environment: Activist with Chaperon
  • Research & Education: Left-Leaning Old-Timer
  • Cicero CEO Joins SV Leader in Warning against Green Activists
  • First First-Generation Norwegian to Government
  • Progress Party Again Reveals Streak of Intolerance
N299/300 Tuesday, 16 October, 2007
From 2007 to 2009
  • Long-Term Trends Favour "Right", "Growth"
  • Red-Green Majority Unlikely to Hold in 2009
  • Loss of Majority Will Force SV Out of Government
  • Labour/Centre/Christian Coalition Most Likely
  • Other Scenarios Produce Non-Socialist Coalitions
  • Require Strong Swings for Non-Socialists
  • Non-Socialists Grow More in Surveys than Elections
  • Indicating a Non-Socialist Reserve?
  • How Can They Bring Reservists to Election Booth?
  • Conservatives Must Learn how to Win Final Campaign
  • Progress Party Needs to Make Voters Feel Safe
  • Adjusting to SV Likely to Cause Labour Loss
  • Most Governments in Office Experience Erosion
  • Most Likely Related to Economic Performance
  • Erosion Unevenly Distributed among Coalition Partners
  • Progress Party Spending Lure Theory Not Supported
  • No Trace of "Angry Green" Voters
N298 Tuesday, 25 September, 2007
Compromise or Rematch?
  • Government Refuses to Move on Shipping Tax
  • Silent on Asset Value Assessment
  • Non-Socialists Likely to Unite against Retroactive Tax
  • Compromise Solutions Suggested
  • Or Should They Aim at Rematch after 2009?
  • Good Campaign Issue for Non-Socialists
  • Focus on Cluster Policy with Petroleum, Fish Farming
N297 Sunday, 16 September, 2007
Less Red, Less Green
  • Socialist Left Party (SV) Cut to Half in Local Elections
  • Non-Socialist Majority if Election Had Been for Parliament
  • Voters Both Less Green and Less Red
  • 12.5% Swing for "Business Friendly" Parties
  • 8.5% Swing for "Petroleum Friendly" Parties
  • Trends Even Stronger in the North
  • Very Strong Increase for "Petroleum Friendly" in Lofoten/Vesterålen
  • SV Believes in "More of the Same"
  • Demands More Power for Fewer Votes
  • How Will Election Influence PM's Strategy?
N296 Wednesday, 5 September, 2007
Backstage Bartering II
  • Can We Have a Monopoly on Backstage Bartering?
N295 Tuesday, 4 September, 2007
Backstage Bartering I
  • Wallenberg Group Offers Kickbacks for Fighter Plane Deal
  • Tempts Red-Greens with Cash for Energy, Climate Projects
  • Mysterious Link to Joint Project Group
  • SV Politician Acting as Liaison
  • New Monumental Prestige Project Prematurely Blown by Dagbladet?
  • Pre-empting Democratic Decision on Security Strategy?
  • Further Consequences for Industry, Energy Policy?
N294 Thursday, 30 August, 2007
Phantom Debts
  • New Shipping Tax System Possibly in State Budget
  • Probably Aligned to European System
  • Deferred Taxes Political Dilemma
  • PM Says "Debts" Will Not be Cancelled
  • Could Be Transferred to New Tax Regime
  • Politicians Looking for Middle Solutions
  • Negotiated Disengagement a Better Option?
N293 Tuesday, 28 August, 2007
  • Huge Benefits from Globalization
  • Norway May Benefit More than OECD
  • Works through Terms of Trade, Immigration, Capital Export
  • Cluster Effects Protect Competition Exposed Sector
  • Requires Conscious Cluster Support Policies
  • Challenges for Regional Policy, Distribution
  • Radical Deviations from Current Planning Scenario
  • What Are the Implications for Norway's Budget Dilemma?
N292 Wednesday, 22 August, 2007
Depressed Europeans
  • Why Do Europeans Work 30% Less than Americans?
  • Macroeconomic Labour Supply Research Adds New Dimension
  • May Help Norway Solve Future State Budget Dilemma
  • European Leisure Preference Theory Discarded
  • Structural Differences Highlighted
  • Taxes, Welfare Main Explanations for Work Deficit
  • Non-Market Work Deducts from Utility
  • Labour Supply Response to Tax May Be Higher than Earlier Believed
N291 Tuesday, 17 July, 2007
Reality Check III
  • Costs of Efficient Climate Policies to Live with
  • Insurance Premium against Cooling Not Included
  • Exaggerations More Dangerous
  • Crowding-Out Risk for Other Decisions
  • Risk for Reputation of Science
  • Risk for Fears for the Future
  • Indoctrination of Children
  • Independent Value of Having Policies Settled
N290 Friday, 13 July, 2007
Reality Check II
  • Opposition, Greens Pushing for More
  • No Broad Political Agreement Likely
  • IPCC's Attribution to Human Causes Resembles Circular Argument
  • Alternative Solar Impact Hypothesis Attacking and Being Attacked
  • Uncertainty Represents Major Commercial Risk
N289 Wednesday, 11 July, 2007
Reality Check I
  • Government Meets Reality on Climate Policies
  • Radical Targets, Moderate Means
  • Specific Policies to Steer Domestic Share of Cuts
  • Mortgaging Pension Fund against Carbon Cuts
  • Including Forests Most Sensible Feature
  • Onshore Wind Power, Hydrogen Moving into Background
N288 Thursday, 7 June, 2007
National Champions
  • Are National Champions Beneficial?
  • Does Innovation Theory Give a Different Answer?
N287 Wednesday, 16 May, 2007
Rent Seekers?
  • Lobby Group Allegedly Inspired Finance Centre Idea
  • Norsk Investorforum Promoter of Innovation Theory
  • Specialities Public Sector, Fish Farming, Tourism
  • Strong Emphasize on Financial Support from State
  • Many Ideas Reflected in Labour Document
  • Accused of Being "Rent Seekers"
  • Raises Vital Issues of Defining Innovation Theory
N286 Monday, 14 May, 2007
Finance Centre?
  • Labour Left: Use Capital as Industrial Resource
  • Supports Idea of Oslo as a Financial Centre
  • Wants Pension Fund Managers in Norway
  • Rejected by Government, Central Bank
  • Comparison with Petroleum Cluster Misleading
  • Strategy Should Look to Niche Markets
N285 Tuesday, 27 March, 2007
Forestry for Climate
  • Forest Management Can Abate Climate Problem
  • Former Minister of Agriculture Suggests New Strategy
  • Forests Grow When Economies Grow
  • Civilization Creates its Own Negative CO2 Feed-Back
  • Other Climate Policies Could Enhance Deforestation and Threaten Bio Diversity
N284 Monday, 12 March, 2007
Post Valla
  • LO Leader Forced to Resign
  • Moderate from Private Sector Taking Over
  • New Power Struggle Public Vs Private
  • Ties to Labour May Weaken
  • Could Reduce Labour's Financial Advantage
N283 Monday, 29 January, 2007
Crumbling Rule
  • SSB Runs Macro Study on Progress Party Budget
  • Finds No Dramatic Effects
  • Marginally Lower Interest Rate Most Likely
  • Some Appreciation of NOK
  • Confirms Effects Depend on How Funds are Spent
  • Secondary Dynamic Effects not Fully Covered
  • Harder to Defend "Action Rule"
  • Better to Make Use of the Wider Freedom of Action Indicated
  • Other Objections to Progress Party Budgeting Still Valid
N282 Friday, 19 January, 2007
Governance Lessons
  • Government Power as Owner Must Be Restricted
  • Tie Government to Its Own State Ownership Policy
  • Create Safeguards Against "Offers They Can't Refuse"
  • Rumours of Impending Statoil Acquisition of DNO
  • Illustrates Limited Validity of PM's New Entrants Argument
  • Dangerous Combination: National Anchoring and Non-Competition
  • Strategy to Avoid State Discount Needed