|
P350 |
Friday, 29 December, 2006
Why Did It Happen? |
- Removing Rest of Hydro Discount Paramount Driver
- Necessary to Take Care of Aluminium
- When and How Did Other Doors Close?
- What Was the Impact of the Shtokman "Njet"?
- Merger Talks Started Summer of 2006
- Other Options Alive Until Only Short Time Ago
- Stoltenberg Has Misguided Public for Years
- Companies Not Much Better
- Feeble Non-Socialists must Share Responsibility
- Hydro Failed Its Corporate Social Responsibility
|
P349 |
Friday, 29 December, 2006
How Did It Happen? |
- Hydro Strategy Discussed Since Nineties
- Vital to Focus on Core Competence
- Saga, SDFI, Spinnaker, Centrica Efforts to Gain Size
- Yara Demerger Proved Conglomerate Discount
- Statoil Restricted, Eyes at Hydro for a Long Time
- Steensnæs Closed Doors in 2002
- 2004 Promise: No Merger for a Very Long Time
- But Statoil Had Secret Hydro Task Force Since 2001
|
P348 |
Thursday, 28 December, 2006
Size No Easy Fix |
- Statoil/Hydro Internationalization Important
- GoM Most Important, But Assets Expensive
- Nationalism, Corruption Obstacles in Third World
- Finance Minister: Stricter Ethical Rules
- Diversity Some Advantage Abroad As Well
- Size No Help Against "Escape Cost", Provincialism
- Size Helps for Attention, Risk Distribution
- Merger May Help Competing With Capacity Constrained Competitors
- Better for Growth than Doing Nothing, Bad for Diversity
- More Efficient Strategies Possible While Retaining Diversity
|
P347 |
Thursday, 21 December, 2006
Diversity Lost |
- Stoltenberg: Diversity Less Relevant
- Opposition Parties, Researchers Etc. Worried
- Few Realize How Strongly the Norwegians Dominate
|
P346 |
Wednesday, 20 December, 2006
The Giant |
- Merger Means Dangerous Loss of Diversity
- Larger International Muscle, Effects May be Overrated
- Better Strategies for Internationalisation Ignored
- Authorities Should Require Sales of Assets, Operatorships
- Vital to Encourage Other Companies
- Decision-Making Process Ominous Warning about Future
- State Buy-Up May Cause Fears of More Intervention
|
P345 |
Monday, 11 December, 2006
Trap Sprung |
- Parliament Agrees to New Tax Rules on Financial Items
- Progress Party, Conservatives Vote Against
- Industry Rejects MoF Argument on Newcomers Having Been Favoured
- New Rule Causes Disincentives for all Companies
- Means Tax System Sooner Will Become Limiting E&P Factor
|
P344 |
Tuesday, 28 November, 2006
Knowledge about Knowledge |
- OLF, Tekna, Present Petroleum Cluster as Growth Model
- Petroleum Cluster Norway's Largest Onshore Industry
- Will Evolve and Continue Indefinitely, No Need for Inventing "Something New"
- Knowledge Base Also Offering Spin-Offs to Other Sectors
- Key is Learning More about Knowledge as a Production Factor
|
P343 |
Wednesday, 22 November, 2006
The New Diversity |
- Are New Entrants Good for Cluster Development?
|
P342 |
Friday, 17 November, 2006
Scared by the Scared |
- Draft Parliament Report on High North Leaked to Media
- Not Much New; Useful Summary of Ongoing Projects
- Government has Invited to Talks with Russians on Industrial Zone
- Arve Johnsen's Research Agenda Cleansed by Green Filter
- Nothing on New Technology for Moving Further North
- Labour's Visions at Rest to Help Left Socialists Lick their Wounds
|
P341 |
Monday, 13 November, 2006
Three Suggestions |
- Some Preparations for the Management Plan Are Not in Progress
- Better Organization for Oil Spill Contingency
- Improved System for Covering Fishermen's Risk
- Creating a Better Upside
|
P340 |
Wednesday, 8 November, 2006
Short-Sighted |
- OLF: Insufficient Funds for Management Plan Preparations
- Good Example of Limitations with Short-Term State Budgeting
- Split Sector Interests Make Rational Planning Difficult
|
P339 |
Tuesday, 7 November, 2006
Emptying the Drawer |
- OLF: Investment Could Drop Dangerously in Five Years
- Lofoten/Vesterålen Acreage Urgently Needed
- Exploration Continues to Lag
- Only Three Dry Wells in True Frontier Prospects So Far
|
P338 |
Sunday, 15 October, 2006
Back to the Moon |
- State, Statoil Agree on Mongstad Heat and Gas Power Plant
- Time Allowed to Develop New Capture Technology
- New "Man on the Moon" Program
- From "None Without" to "Many With"
|
P337 |
Thursday, 12 October, 2006
Financial Items |
- Proposal on Financial Items to Parliament
- Improvements on Several Points
- Revised Proposal Now Being Studied by Companies
- MoF Weak on Effects on Incentives, May Still be Damaging
|
P336 |
Tuesday, 10 October, 2006
A Back Door Still Open? |
- Gazprom Turns Down All Foreign Partners
- Says None Would Offer Sufficiently Good Assets in Return
- Pipeline Gas to Europe Given Priority Above LNG for the US
- Large Variety of Speculations
- Has Gazprom Simply Ended a Chicken Game?
- Aker Kværner Well Positioned Anyway
- Could Statoil/Hydro Later Get in as "Technical Assistants"?
|
P335 |
Saturday, 30 September, 2006
APA06 |
- 43 Companies Apply in APA06
- Up 16, Down 2 Since APA05
- 22 Also Applied in 19th Round
- 8 Newcomers Still Waiting
|
P334 |
Wednesday, 20 September, 2006
Petrophobics? |
- NHO Protests Negative Attitude in Research Council Plan
- High North Strategy Plan Deficient on Industrial Development
|
P333 |
Wednesday, 20 September, 2006
Barents 2020 |
- Former Statoil CEO Gives Contents to Barents 2020
- Proposes Joint Onshore Economic Zone
- Research Projects Joining Norway, Russia, EU, Others
- Norwegian Corporations Confirm Roles as Project Leaders
- Joint Private/Public Financing
- Greens Say they are Scared
|
P332 |
Tuesday, 19 September, 2006
Cluster Ownership Strategy |
- Hvem Eier Norge? Important for the Petroleum Industry
- Are We Good Enough at Nurturing New Ideas?
- Are We Under-Balanced on Cross-Border Knowledge Firm Acquisitions?
- Questions Raised By Kon-Kraft's Capital Project Still Unanswered
- New Studies Indicated for a Cluster Ownership Strategy
|
P331 |
Tuesday, 22 August, 2006
Northern Spin-Offs |
- New Barlindhaug Report on Northern Spin-Offs
- Large Potential, Based on Particular Assumptions
- An Industrial Strategy for Better Cluster Functions
- Onshore Facilities Or Pure Offshore Solutions?
- Local or Imported Labour and Knowledge Resources?
- Total Activity Level Vital for Critical Mass
- No Room for Internal Northern Rivalry
|
P330 |
Monday, 21 August, 2006
Mousetrap |
- OLF, Newcomers Protest MoF Proposal On Financial Items
- Likely to Increase Revenue Considerably
- Moves Offshore Related Financial Expenses Onshore
- Particularly Harmful for New Entrants, Pure E&P
- Incentives Contrary to Policies
- Too Short Time For Review Process
- Possible Solution in Modified Standard Formula
|
P329 |
Friday, 18 August, 2006
Success Not Enough |
- Offshore Suppliers Sold For NOK 49 Bn Abroad in 2005
- 46% of All Upstream Related Sales
- Approx NOK 32 Bn Direct Exports from Norway
- Larger Than All Traditional Export Industries
- Intsok Major Success
- Much More Still to be Done
|
P328 |
Wednesday, 9 August, 2006
New Profiles II |
- Poor NCS Access For Non-Independents Before 2000
- Many Arrived Before Tax Change, Oil Price Increase
|
P327 |
Tuesday, 8 August, 2006
New Profiles I |
- Diverse Group of New Entrants
|
P326 |
Friday, 4 August, 2006
Not Upside Down |
- Dagens Næringsliv: NCS Reality Turned Upside Down
- "Three Times as Many Oil Companies"
- Actually, There is Much Less Change, But Promising Potential
- 16% Growth in Number of Active Companies Since 1993, Not 200%
- New Entrants Hold 3% of Booked Reserves
- Partners In 12% of Exploration Wells Since 2000
- Add 25% to Global Market Capitalisation
|
P325 |
Monday, 24 July, 2006
Home and Away |
- Shtokman Postponed Again
- Putin Says Norwegians Among First On List
- Greenland Announces License Round West of Greenland
- 15 Top US, European Companies Review Data
- US Newspaper Believes Statoil is Among Them
- Biggest Greenland Potential to the Northeast
- Russia, Perhaps Greenland, Important for Cluster Strategy
|
P324 |
Friday, 7 July, 2006
Parking Tickets |
- The MPE Implements Area Fee Changes
- Aims to Increase Turnover of Idle Acreage
- Sharp Progression After Initial Period
- Exempts Areas With Production, Drilling, Prospects
- May be Waived If Progress Not Possible
- Weak Analysis of Socio-Economic Utility
- Sales Vs Relinquishments Will Help Assessing Success
- The MPE Ignores NPD Proposals to Avoid Premature PDOs
|
P323 |
Tuesday, 20 June, 2006
Selling Forward |
- Wiborg: Sell Oil in Futures Market for CO2 EOR
- Requires Achieved Price Accepted for Taxation
- Balance of Arguments So Far that Futures Market is Hyped
- Why Not Open For This Opportunity for Sales From All Sources?
|
P322 |
Wednesday, 14 June, 2006
Financial Costs Again |
- New MoF Proposal On Financial Items
- Said to Represent Simplification
- Assumed Revenue Reduction May Be Balanced
|
P321 |
Tuesday, 13 June, 2006
Whose Knees? |
- PE Releases Gassco Report
- Confirms All CO2 Chains Unprofitable
- State's Petroleum Tax Revenue Already Included
- Bellona Claims Opposite
- Other Problems Quota Costs and Sunk Costs
|
P320 |
Monday, 12 June, 2006
Politicising Statoil |
- PM Admits to Sacking Odfjell
- Says He Responded to MPs' Demands
- Implication that Red-Greens in Parliament De Facto Should Appoint the Chairman
- Position has Now Been Explicitly Politicised
- Large Battle Scars Within Labour
- Parliament Closes the Case
|
P319 |
Friday, 2 June, 2006
Midnight Calls |
- Odfjell Withdraws As Statoil Chairman
- PM Confirms Midnight Calls
- MPE Minister Enoksen Overrun
- Opposition: LO Runs the Government
- Lindbæk Stays in Office, Perhaps for a Year
|
P318 |
Sunday, 28 May, 2006
Naughty Norway |
- Financial Times Ties Norway to Bolivia Nationalisation
- Hints Norwegian Advisers Cause Strict Terms in Third World
- Suggests Statoil, Hydro May Benefit
- More Political Interference to be Found Elsewhere
- But Advisers May be Preoccupied With "Steering and Control"
- Checking Manuscripts for Balancing Paradigms a Good Idea
- Should Norway Help Evaluating Nationalised Assets?
|
P317 |
Saturday, 6 May, 2006
Thorium |
- Professors Propose Thorium-Based Nuclear Power Process
- Norway Has the World's Third Largest Thorium Deposits
- No Short/Middle Run Option, But Interesting Long-Run Possibility
- Among Possible Bridge-Builders for Long-Term Petroleum Cluster
|
P316 |
Wednesday, 19 April, 2006
Cluster Test |
- Integrated Operations Could Increase Field NPV by NOK 250 bn
- 60% Could Be Lost in Case of Three Year Delay
- Experts Do Not See Full Effect from Likely Efforts
- Aggressive, Concerted Effort Required
- New Technology Must be Implemented Quickly
- Authorities Must Contribute With R&D
- Statoil in Cooperation With Global Technology Leaders
|
P315 |
Wednesday, 5 April, 2006
All is Not Well |
- 13 Licenses Awarded in 19th Round
- Four Firm Wells
- Hard to Describe as a Success
- BG Group Saves the Day
- Hydro-Led Group in Near-Coast Finnmark License
- Møre Near-Coast Blocks Not Awarded
|
P314 |
Monday, 3 April, 2006
Compromise and Rematch |
- Management Plan to Be Reconsidered in 2010
- Seismic Surveys Allowed in Nordland VII, Troms II, Egga Edge
- 35/50 km Protection Zone in Barents Sea
- No Consistent Risk Management Approach
- Precautionary Principle Only "One of Several Possible"
- Going Slow Risky for Foreign Policy, Technology Edge
|
P313 |
Friday, 24 March, 2006
Exploration and Oil Price |
- Researchers Estimate Oil Price Impact on Exploration
- Long-Term Elasticity 0.2-0.4
- Could Suggest USD50 Not Enough to Reach NPD Target
- Elasticity Lower in Regulated Regions With High Taxation
- Model Doesn't Explain Low Exploration Level Up to 2005
- Could Tax/Materiality Explain Variable Elasticity?
|
P312 |
Friday, 10 March, 2006
Not Worst Case |
- Statoil/Shell Propose CO2 "Value Chain"
- Politicians Queue to Sign Blank Check
- Better Than Uncontrolled Run for Subsidies
|
P311 |
Monday, 21 February. 2006
APA06 |
- 192 Blocks Offered in APA06
- APA Area Extended With 11 Blocks
- Greens Complain, As Usual
|
P310 |
Monday, 20 February, 2006
The Battle of the XXXs |
- Draft Management Plan Leaked
- Salient Points Shown as "XXX"
- Discussion Reasonably Balanced
- Financial Risk/Reward Estimates Missing
- Left Socialists Formally Give Up Permanent Protection..
- .. But Arrive There Anyway!
- Labour Said to Prioritise Re-Opening of Finnmark Near Shore
- Appearances Most Important for the Left Socialists?
|
P309 |
Friday, 3 February, 2006
Drilling Cycles |
- Rig Market Expected to be Tight For Many Years
- How Much Drilling Is Lost Over the Oil Price Cycle?
- How to Correct Possible Major Market Failure?
|
P308 |
Thursday, 2 February, 2006
The Productivity Mystery |
- Industry Minister Speaks on Innovation
- Little Change From Bondevik
- Remarkable Omission of Petroleum Industry
- Major Clusters Still Undiscovered
- Productivity Mystery Still Unsolved
- May Cause Over-Spending on Programs for Other Sectors
- Aker Should Show its TV Commercial for the MTI
|
P307 |
Friday, 19 Januar, 2006
Closing and Un-Closing Minor changes made since e-mail version. |
- Enoksen: Goliat Solution Up to Industry
- Technology Likely to Open for E&P Also Outside Lofoten/Vesterålen
- Top-Level Nordland Group Says Nordland VII Process Should Start Now
- Nordland VII Could Be Part of the 21th Round
|
P306 |
Friday, 13 January, 2006
War of the Words |
- PM: Business As Usual for Goliat
- Environment Minister: Not Necessarily Development
- NPD CEO: Shock Waves in Milano
- Industry Minister: Socialist Left Party Will Come Along
- Impossible for Labour to Deny Development
- Mostly a War of Words, but Casualties Possible
- Risk of Trade-Offs to Left Socialists
|
P305 |
Friday, 6 January, 2006
Total Acquittal |
- MoF Decides Fund is Not to Divest From Total
- Important Guidelines in Council's Recommendations
- Fund to Pull Out From Seven Nuclear Weapons Equipment Producers
|
P304 |
Sunday, 1 January, 2006
Regulation |
- New Rules for Use of Facilities by Others
- Still Discussions About Area Fee
|
P303 |
Sunday, 1 January, 2006
Saving Politicians From Themselves |
- Gassco, Petoro, Gassnova, MPE to Study "CO2 Value Chain"
- Gassco Chairs Industry Group to Study Gas Pipeline to Grenland, Sweden
- Tails Wagging Dogs
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