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BEHIND THE NEWS
NORWEGIAN POLITICS (BTNN) - BACK ISSUES
2013
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N386 Wednesday, 11 September 2013
New Government
  • Strong Shift from Left to Right
  • Stability along Green/Growth Axis
  • New Government in Mid-October
  • Four Parties Start Negotiations
  • Odds for a Four-Party Coalition Improving
  • LoVe E&P Closer to the Danger Zone
  • LoVe Compromise Could Secure Four-Party Coalition
  • Stand-Still Would be Surrender and not even Necessary
N385 Monday, 9 September 2013 (morning of Election Day)
Uncertainties Remain
  • Non-Socialist Majority Safe
  • Focus Turned to Choice of Coalition
  • Conservatives Lose to "Secondary Voting"
  • Favours Progress Party, Liberals
  • Conservative Losses Also to Labour
  • Labour Loses Tactical Votes to Socialists
  • Conservatives Appear to have Chosen Progress Party
  • Speculations about Compromise on LoVe E&P
  • Solberg: Only If Liberals/Christians Get into Government
  • PM Opens for Clean Labour Minority Government
  • Late Moves May Reduce Leaks from both Parties
  • Green Party Has Probably Culminated
  • Status for Our "Points to Watch"
N384 Sunday, 25 August 2013
Back to the Eighties
  • Green Party Close to 4% Threshold
  • Meeting Resistance from other Greens
  • Too Fundamentalist on Energy
  • Ideological Split over Welfare Level
  • Honest about Costs, or Hopelessly Romantic?
  • Opposes CCS, Cap-and-Trade
  • Big Spending and Lost Income
  • "Would Need Governance Tools like Stalin's"
  • Some Candidates with Bizarre Opinions
N383 Wednesday, 21 August 2013
Points to Watch
  • Consequences of a Changed Game
  • Conservatives Could be Forced into Internal Battle
  • A Negotiated Solution Much to be Preferred
  • May Depend on Features with the Election Result
  • Marginal Variations Could Make a Difference:
  • Combined Size of Conservatives, Progress Party
  • Combined Size of Labour, Progress Party
  • Small Parties above or below 4%
  • Relative Size of Centrists, Progress Party
N382 Tuesday, 20 August 2013
A Changing Game
  • Centrists Try to Isolate Progress Party
  • Demand to Govern alone with Conservatives
  • Warn against a Conservative/Progress Party Coalition
  • Feel Pressure from Green Party
  • "No to LoVe E&P" Grown into Top Priority
  • Increases Conflict Level among Non-Socialists
  • Opening Provided by Tactical Error from Solberg
N381 Tuesday, 13 August 2013
Health Plan
  • Conservatives Propose new Health Plan
  • Free Choice of Public/Private Hospitals
  • Same State Financing
  • Intention to Remove Treatment Queues
  • First Major New Initiative in Election Campaign
  • Could Make Privatization Sound Better
  • Interesting Relationship to Fiscal Rule
N380 Friday, 26 July 2013
Greener Greens
  • Green Party Jumps from 1% to 2%
  • Real Trend Likely to Continue
  • Could Win 1-3 Seats in Parliament
  • Large Parties Appear Unaffected
  • Steals Votes from Socialists, Liberals
  • Likely to Push Socialists Below 4%
  • Would Mean Loss of 10 Seats
  • If Greens Reach 4%, also Liberals Below 4%
  • Even Centre Party not Quite Safe
N379 Friday, 26 July 2013
Plain Sailing
  • Amazing Political Stability through 2013
  • By Trend, Clean Con/Progress Majority in Election
  • Statisticians: 91% Probability
  • Full Non-Socialist Majority at Least 98-71
  • Plain Sailing through Final Six Weeks?
N378 Wednesday, 30 January 2013
Climate Pains
  • International Attention for Norwegian Research
  • Cuts Climate Sensitivity by 37%
  • Stronger Role for Natural Variability
  • Would Make It Easier to Reach 2-Degree Target
  • Fits with other Studies Since IPCC Report
  • Consistent with a Possible Warming Peak
  • Much Uncertainty Remains
  • Norwegian Media Only Interested in Celebrities' Quarrel
  • Miss Main Points Entirely

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