BEHIND THE
NEWS
NORWEGIAN POLITICS (BTNN) - BACK ISSUES
2010 |
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N348 |
Friday, 6 August 2010
Discounting Carbon - I |
- What is the NPV of an Emission Sequence?
- Discounting Emissions or Damage?
- Over Which Time Periods?
- With Which Social Time/Consumption Preferences?
- What Should Count at Political Target Dates?
- Should Moral Considerations Be Added, and How?
- The Inter-Generational Economic Aspect
- The Fallacies of the Stern Report
- The Different Physical Discounting Aspect
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N347 |
Wednesday, 28 July 2010
Narrowing Acceptance Window |
- EPA Includes Land Use Change in Biofuel Certification
- Makes First Attempt at Including Temporal Dimension
- Based on Science that First Emerged in 2008
- Even Newer Science Casts Doubts on Energy from Wood
- No Temporal Adjustment for Wood Energy Yet
- Science Has Capsized Old Paradigms in Two Years
- New Science Emerging all the Time
- Consequences Far from Integrated in Policies
- May Also Affect other Renewables
- Current Trends Narrow Acceptance Windows
- Politicians Must Look for New Options<
- Investors Must Face Increasing Risk
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N346 |
Tuesday, 20 July 2010
Manomet |
- Massachusetts Study Rejects Bio Energy as Neutral
- Carbon Debts Accrue for All Investigated Options
- Pay-Back Times Highly Variable
- Short Pay-Back Times for Harvesting Wastes
- Wood for Heating Ambiguous
- Wood for Power Negative for Long Periods
- Impossible to Beat Natural Gas
- Corrected for Different Methods, Comparable to Holtsmark Report
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N345 |
Wednesday, 14 July 2010
No Neutrality in Real World |
- Political Climate Neutrality Definitions Defy Reality
- Initial Emission Increase Not Contested
- Recovery Times of Many Decades Not Refuted
- Some Think It Doesn't Matter
- Accept Huge Emissions to Get Rid of Fossils
- Some Doubt Accuracy of Estimates
- Some Kinds of Bio Energy May Perform Better
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N344 |
Sunday, 11 July 2010
The Holtsmark Paper |
- Statistics Norway Challenges Conventional Thinking
- Bio Energy Not Climate Neutral
- Political Neutrality Assumption Not Based in Facts
- Even "Second Generation" Harmful if Wood Harvested Early
- Even Best Case Could Increase Emissions throughout Century
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N343 |
Sunday, 11 July 2010
Bio Energy Neutrality Paradigm Falling |
- Forests are Super-Efficient CCS Machines
- Climate Mitigation Effect Shaded by Political Perceptions
- Focus on Curbing Emissions only, not Promoting Sinks
- Fallacy of Making Fossil Avoidance an Objective by Itself
- Fallacy of Assuming Bio Energy is Climate Neutral
- Spatial, Temporal, and Replacement Factors Distort Neutrality
- Non-Neutrality Turns Bio Energy Policies into a Lottery
- What is the Real Future for Bio Energy?
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N342 |
Tuesday, 30 March 2010
Stingy Revenge |
- Government Takes Revenge on Shipping
- New Entrance Ticket to New System
- Wants NOK 4 Bn from Old Income
- Professor May Be Right that Proposal Isn't Unconstitutional
- It is Still Stingy and in Contradiction to Political Intentions
- Particularly Unfit to Current Situation for Petro-Maritime Cluster
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N341 |
Tuesday, 23 February 2010
Political Justice? |
- Narrow Split on Shipping Tax Verdict
- Theory about Selective Government Appointments
- Three of Five Recused Judges Close to Government
- "Schools" or "Groupthink" within Professional Networks?
- No Correlation with Previous Career or Seniority
- If there is a Systematic Split, it Goes down the Middle
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N340 |
Monday, 22 February 2010
Obedient Justice |
- Court's Minority Obeys Parliament's Majority
- Political Arguments in Legal Language
- Widens Door for Retroactive Legislation
- Holds Industry's Statements against its Constitutional Rights
- Demands Prescience Capabilities
- Uses Circular Argument
- Warns Market about High Political Risk in Norway
- Worst Case Value Assessment as Case Law?
- Collateral Damage Unintended by Politicians
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N339 |
Tuesday, 16 February 2010
Deferred Justice |
- Shipping Companies Win in 6-5 Supreme Court Decision
- Collecting "Deferred Taxes" Unconstitutional
- Violates Rule against Retroactive Legislation
- Important Case Law for Interpretation of Constitution
- Clarifies Area with Strong Constitutional Protection
- "Victory for all Tax-Payers"
- Government Will Consider Options
- Opposition Says Matter should now be Closed
- Old Positions Could be Conti
- Other Option is Collecting NPV Based on Old System
- Further Moves against Shipping Industry Unlikely
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N338 |
Friday, 5 February 2010
Nemesis |
- Christians Deeply Split over Core Issues
- Modernization Increases Internal Diversity
- Split along Right/Left and Green/Growth Axis as well
- Suffers also under Anti-Green Trend
- Tensions High Due to Poor Voter Support
- Could Follow Liberals to Oblivion
- Høybråten's Peace Offer Today Didn't Help
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