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BEHIND THE NEWS
NORWEGIAN POLITICS (BTNN) - BACK ISSUES
2009
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N337 Wednesday, 23 December 2009
Biowars III
  • Possibly 3.5% Blending Mandate in 2010
  • 5% in 2011 if Certification Is in Place
  • Much Confusion about Certification Systems
  • Disagreement about Update Climate Deal on Biofuel
  • Non-Socialists Claim Deal Was Broken
  • Unlikely since Norway Can't Implement Certification Alone
  • False Beliefs that Certification Will Protect Food
  • Conservatives Feel Less Committed to Entire Deal
N336 Tuesday, 15 December 2009
Biowars II
  • Original Proposal from Finance Minister Halvorsen
  • Entire Opposition Praised Biofuels as Environment Friendly
  • Ignored International Reports about Land Use Problems
  • Used Assessments from Norwegian Greens Instead
  • Mistaken Belief that Standards Can Protect Food
  • Encouragement of 2nd Generation also Likely a Fallacy
  • Open Red-Green Conflict in Parliament
  • Opposition May Speculate in Government Break-Up
  • Possibly Double-Edged Sword
  • Shows PM Opposition Unwilling to Support Cost Efficiency
  • Democratic Scandal that Parliament Majority Was Overruled?
N335 Tuesday, 15 December 2009
Biowars I
  • Road Tax Exemption for Biodiesel Removed
  • Seen as Set-Back for Norwegian Biofuel Industry
  • Political Storm from Opposition, Media, Industry, Greens
  • Smaller Government Partners Overruled by Labour
  • Heavy Labour Losses on Opinion Surveys
  • Which Consequences for LoVe E&P?
  • Decision Right, but Late and Poorly Argued
  • Both Factions Trail Research on Biofuels
  • Opposition Ignores Cost Efficiency
N334 Tuesday, 15 September 2009
Still Hurdles for Green Certificates
  • New Understanding with Sweden on Green Certificates
  • Guideline for further Negotiations Only
  • Some Progress Since Last Year's Understanding
  • Many Issues Left for Further Negotiations
  • Technology Neutrality Assumed to Open for Hydro Power
  • PM Says Financial Burden to be Shared 50:50
  • Means Norwegian Consumers Pay Double
  • Greens Promise to Fight Hydro Power
  • Want to Use Regulatory Policy
  • Restrictive Policy Probably Incompatible with Agreement
  • Red-Green Cover-Up of Disagreement
  • Problem Left to Soria Moria II
  • New Political Hurdle along Green/Growth Axis
N333 Tuesday, 15 September 2009
Red-Green Victory, Opposite Swing
  • Red-Green Parliament Majority
  • Non-Socialist Majority in Votes
  • Conservatives, Labour Winners
  • Four Greens Down from 28% to 21.7%
  • Deeper Green Decline in Northern Norway
  • Two Greenest Lose most
  • Liberals Below 4%
  • Liberal Leader Sponheim Resigns
  • No Mandate to Keep E&P Acreage Closed
N332 Tuesday, 1 September 2009
Withering Democracy
  • Liberals, Progress Party Guarantee Non-Cooperation
  • Liberals Won't Make Budget Deals with "Yes to LoVe" Parties
  • Both Disenfranchise their Own Voters
  • Conservative/Centrist Front on Culture Policies
  • Greens Actively Promoting Minority Power
  • Creativity Impaired by Deals on Climate, Pensions, Tax
  • Parties' Egotism Undermining Democracy
  • Labour May Be Given Power Monopoly
  • Pitfalls of Parliamentarianism
  • Can Parliamentarianism Be Re-Invented?
N331 Thursday, 20 August 2009
Government Outlook
  • What Government after the Election?
  • Many Options under Non-Socialist Majority
  • Non-Socialist Split Leaves Initiative to Stoltenberg
  • If Stoltenberg Wants, Clean Labour Government Likely
  • Non-Socialists Can always Sack Red-Greens, if they Want
N330 Friday, 31 July 2009
A Domestic Forest Quota Market?
  • Allow Oil Industry to Offset against Carbon Tax
  • Better than Existing Proposal about "Climate Fund"
  • Should Satisfy all Parties
  • Removal possible when Forest Quotas Are Generally Accepted
N329 Thursday, 30 July 2009
Progress on Forest Quotas
  • Centre Party Wants Forests in Cap-and-Trade
  • Conservatives Want to Investigate
  • Labour, Christians: Forest Management for Climate
  • Liberals, Socialist Left Party: Mostly for Bio Energy
  • Forests Should Be in Cap-and-Trade to Improve Cost Efficiency
  • Petroleum Industry already Pays for Forests, but to Others
  • Conservatives (1989) Connected Petroleum and Forests
  • Why Are Greens so Hostile?
  • Greenpeace's Fallacies
N328 Tuesday, 30 June 2009
Efficient Climate Innovation
  • Climate Friendly Innovation Necessary
  • Main Rule is R&D Support at Par with all other Innovation
  • Stronger Effort Justified Until Climate Costs are Fully Internalized
  • Policies Should Still Be Cost Effective
  • Regulations, Subsidies, only in Case of Market Failure
  • Commission Establishes Strict Decision Gates
  • Many Existing Programs Redundant and Damaging
N327 Monday, 29 June 2009
Efficient Climate Policy II
  • Commission Warns Against "Doing More at Home"
  • If Politically Necessary, Increase Uniform Price by Extra Tax Only
  • Government Should Present Price Forecasts for Guidance
  • In Principle No Subsidies for Renewables
  • Narrow Exceptions for Documented Market Failure
  • Strong Global R&D Effort Main Supplementary Strategy
  • Commission Forgets about Carbon Sinks
N326 Monday, 29 June 2009
Efficient Climate Policy I
  • MoF Commission on Environment and Decision-Making
  • Recommends Cost Efficient Climate Mitigation
  • Uniform Effective Carbon Price across all Sources
  • EU's Cap-and-Trade Price should be Used by All
  • Only Proven Market Failure Can Justify Selective Programs
  • Domestic Targets Counter-Productive
  • Verdict over Current Policies and Green Symbol Policy
  • Recommendations Should Be Heeded by Politicians, Industry
N325 Monday, 13 April 2009
Wind or Water
  • Why Do Greens Prefer Wind to Hydro Power?
  • Hydro Normally Better for Environment
  • Prestige Because of History of "Saving Rivers"?
  • A Perception of Hydro Power as "Big Business"?
  • Norway Protects more Hydro than Other Nordic Countries
N324 Sunday, 12 April 2009
Protected to Death
  • Government Scraps Last Major Hydro-Electric Project
  • Vefsna in Nordland, Northern Norway to Be Protected
  • Political Promise from Soria Moria
  • New Victory for Socialist Left Party
  • Angry Reactions from Northern Norway
  • "Region to Be Protected to Death"
  • "Socialist Left Party Must Be Expelled"
  • Connected to Oil & Gas, Forestry, Agriculture, Fisheries
  • Progress Party, Conservatives Pledge to Reverse
  • Voting against Labour best Way to Get Labour
N323 Wednesday, 4 February 2009
Towards Stoltenberg Solo
  • Centrists Continue to Put Pressure on Conservatives
  • Christians Oppose Market Solutions, Tax Cuts
  • Which Government in September?
  • Third Axis Obstacle for Labour/Christian Alliance
  • Who Will Survive in a Biaxial Political Environment?
N322 Tuesday, 3 February 2009
The Green/Growth Axis
  • The Biaxial Political Map
  • Green/Growth as the Second Axis
  • Ideology, Reality Perception, or Preferences?
  • What Is in the Non-Green End?
  • The Need to Clarify and Commit to a Growth Ideology
N321 Monday, 26 January 2009
Recycling Bondevik
  • Conservatives: Broad Coalition Unrealistic
  • Clear Preference for "Recycled Bondevik"
  • Increasing Distance to Progress Party
  • May Represent an Upside in Time of Financial Crisis
  • But Risks Related to "Isolation" of Progress Party
  • Party Leader Balancing; Says "Door is Still Open"

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